[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 10 November 13 issued 2351 UT on 10 Nov 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 NOVEMBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (10 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
10 Nov   100    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  X1.1    0514UT  probable   all    E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      88
Nov      71
Dec      69


2. FORECAST (11 NOVEMBER - 13 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
11 Nov    95    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
12 Nov   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
13 Nov    90    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 42 was issued on 10 
November and is current for 10-11 Nov. Enhanced MUF's for Southern 
AUS/NZ and Equatorial regions observed during local day and night 
for 10Nov. Mostly normal ionospheric support for Northern AUS 
and Antarctic regions with disturbed periods between 00UT-08UT 
for Antarctic regions. Notable sporadic E observed at IPS Norfolk 
Is. site between 05UT-12UT and depressed MUF's for IPS Perth 
station during local day. Mostly normal ionospheric support expected 
for Northern AUS/Equatorial and Southern AUS/NZ regions for the 
next 24 hours with the chance of overnight depressions of 10%-20% 
for Southern AUS/NZ and disturbed conditions for Antarctic regions 
arising from possible increase in geomagnetic activity from recent 
CME's. Mostly normal HF conditions expected for 12Nov-13Nov. 
Continued chance of SWFs from current active solar regions.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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