[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 09 November 13 issued 2349 UT on 09 Nov 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/09 NOVEMBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (09 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
09 Nov   115    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      88
Nov      71
Dec      69


2. FORECAST (10 NOVEMBER - 12 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
10 Nov   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
11 Nov    90    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
12 Nov   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Enhanced MUF's for Southern AUS/NZ and Northern AUS 
regions observed during local day and enhancements during local 
night for Northern AUS regions. Mostly normal ionospheric support 
for Antarctic regions with disturbed periods between 08UT-16UT. 
Variable conditions for Equatorial regions over the UT day. Mostly 
normal ionospheric support expected for Northern AUS/Equatorial 
and Southern AUS/NZ regions for the next 24 hours with MUF's 
~~15% above monthly predicted values at times due to relatively 
high ionising EUV flux (f10.7cm) levels. Chance of MUF depressions 
of ~15% for Southern AUS/NZ and disturbed conditions for Antarctic 
regions on 11Nov due to possible increased geomagnetic activity. 
Mostly normal HF conditions expected for 12Nov. Continued chance 
of SWFs from current active solar regions.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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