[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 25 July 13 issued 2330 UT on 25 Jul 2013

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Jul 26 09:30:34 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/25 JULY 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (25 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
25 Jul    60    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for July:  69


2. FORECAST (26 JULY - 28 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
26 Jul    55    Fair             Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 0 to 20%
27 Jul    55    Normal           Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 0 to 20%    
28 Jul    70    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: MUFs were slightly below monthly values for 24 hour 
averages across the region over the last 24 hours. However there 
was significant hourly variability with night-time MUFs depressed 
across all regions 15-35%. Over 26-27 July There will be Unsettled-Active 
geomagnetic activity due to high solar wind speed from a recurrent 
coronal hole CH576, probably causing MUF depressions up to 20% 
and larger hourly MUF variations than normal.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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