[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 March 11

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Mar 17 10:46:02 EST 2011


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/2330Z MARCH 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Mar    51    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 80% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for March:  40
2. FORECAST (17 MARCH - 19 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Mar    48    Normal           0 to 10% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
18 Mar    45    Normal           near predicted monthly values     
19 Mar    40    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: Conditions were near or slightly above montlhy medians 
at mid and low latitudes with enhancement at some near equatorial 
sites. Mostly normal to good conditions are expected for the 
next 3 days. SWFs are possible over the next day before AR1169 
rotates off the disc as it has a 10% chance of emitting M class 
flares and 2% chance of emitting X class flares. 
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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