[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 March 11

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Mar 16 10:33:48 EST 2011


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/2330Z MARCH 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Mar    60    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day,
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for March:  40
2. FORECAST (16 MARCH - 18 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Mar    45    Normal           0 to 5% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
17 Mar    40    Normal           near predicted monthly values     
18 Mar    40    Normal           near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: Conditions were generally enhanced at near equatorial 
and northern Australian region, possibily due to the moderately 
enhance geomagnetic activity over th elast couple of days. Mostly 
normal to good conditions are expected for the next 3 days. SWFs 
are possible over the next 2 days before AR1169 rotates off the 
disc as it has a 40% chance of emitting M class flares and <10% 
chance of emitting X class flares. 
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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