[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 12 January 11

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Jan 13 10:52:00 EST 2011


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 12/2330Z JANUARY 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 Jan    10    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  37
2. FORECAST (13 JANUARY - 15 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 Jan    15    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20% 
14 Jan    10    Normal-fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%     
15 Jan     5    Normal-fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%    
COMMENT: Depressed MUFs of ~20% observed for Northern AUS/Equatorial 
regions during local day and night. Depressed MUFs of 15% during 
local night for Southern AUS/NZ regions. Mostly normal ionospheric 
support for Antarctic regions. Notable sproadic E observed for 
Northern AUS and Southern AUS IPS stations between 10UT-20UT. 
Similar MUFs depressions of ~20% are expected for the next 3 
days for low to mid latitudes and disturbed conditions possible 
for high latitudes begining on 14Jan due to an anticipated increase 
in geomagnetic activity. 
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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