[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 12 September 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 12/2330Z SEPTEMBER 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 SEPTEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 Sep    66    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M4/2N    0057UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
 M4/--    0139UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 35% over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for September:  38
2. FORECAST (13 SEPTEMBER - 15 SEPTEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 Sep    65    Normal           15 to 25% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
14 Sep    50    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%     
15 Sep    20    Fair-Poor        10 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: Overnight enhancements observed again in Equatorial/N 
Aus region. Spread-F with generally enhanced MUF conditions observed 
Antarctic region. Generally enhanced propagation conditions observed 
at all latitudes in the Australasian region. Mostly good HF conditions 
expected on day one and the first half of day two. Depressions/disturbances 
possible late day two and into day three due to solar wind disturbances 
resulting from recent solar flare activity. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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