[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 31 August 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 31/2330Z AUGUST 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (31 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
31 Aug     4    Normal-fair    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.4    0538UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for August:  39
2. FORECAST (01 SEPTEMBER - 03 SEPTEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
01 Sep     5    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20% 
02 Sep    20    Normal           near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10%     
03 Sep    20    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 37 was issued on 31 August 
and is current for interval 31 August to 1 September. Depressed 
conditions expected for the next 24hours for most AUS/NZ regions 
as elevated geomagnetic conditions continue. Conditions are expected 
to improve after this period but with the chance of further disturbances 
in 2-3 days time with the possible arrival of another CME glancing 
blow. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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