[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 05 November 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/2330Z NOVEMBER 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (05 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
05 Nov    63    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M5/-- 04/2309UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
 M2/1N 04/2229UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
 M4/1F    1130UT  possible   lower  European
 M1/SF    1922UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  35
2. FORECAST (06 NOVEMBER - 08 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
06 Nov    55    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10% 
07 Nov    55    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10%     
08 Nov    55    Normal-Fair      near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 10%    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 43 was issued on 5 November 
and is current for interval 5-7 November (SWFs) . Normal HF conditions 
forecast for the next 24hrs but with an expected degradation 
in conditions occuring within this period due to the arrival 
of shock fronts from recent CME activity. Depressed conditions 
possible for Southern Aus/NZ regions. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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