[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 01 November 04
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Nov 2 10:29:00 EST 2004
SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 01/2330Z NOVEMBER 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (01 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions
01 Nov 90 Normal
Flares Max Fadeout Freq. Sectors
M1/1F 0322UT possible lower E. Asia/Aust.
MUFs:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day,
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 55% during local night.
Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day,
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Enhanced by 60% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.
Absorption observed due to proton event.
PCA Event : Began at 0705UT 01/11, Ended at 1825UT 01/11
Predicted Monthly T index for November: 27
2. FORECAST (02 NOVEMBER - 04 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
02 Nov 60 Fair near predicted monthly values/depressed
10 to 15%
03 Nov 25 Normal-Fair depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted
monthly values
04 Nov 25 Normal depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted
monthly values
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 42 was issued on 30 October
and is current for interval 2-3 November. Depressed MUF forecast
slipped one day out as no shocks from recent coronal mass ejections
have arrived yet. Initially normal to good HF conditions are
now expected for today. Solar coronal mass ejections remain expected
to cause degraded conditions late 02-03 Nov for southern Aus/NZ
region only.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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