[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 31 October 04

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Nov 1 10:17:41 EST 2004


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 31/2330Z OCTOBER 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (31 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
31 Oct    63    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/--    0226UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
 M2/SF    0532UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  30
2. FORECAST (01 NOVEMBER - 03 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
01 Nov    80    Normal-Fair      Enhanced 15-20%/depressed 10-15% 
                                 late in UT day. 
02 Nov    25    Fair             depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values     
03 Nov    25    Normal-Fair      depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 42 was issued on 30 October 
and is current for interval 2-3 November. Initially normal to 
good HF conditions are expected for today. Solar coronal mass 
ejections is expected to cause degraded conditions late 02-03 
Nov for southern Aus/NZ region only. 
----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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