[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 16 August 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/2330Z AUGUST 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (16 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
16 Aug    68    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/SF    0347UT  confirmed  lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for August:  39
2. FORECAST (17 AUGUST - 19 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
17 Aug    45    Normal-Fair      Enhanced 10% to depressed 5-15%. 
18 Aug    55    Normal           about 5% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
19 Aug    65    Normal           about 10% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 36 was issued on 16 August 
and is current for interval 17-19 August (SWFs) . Possible mildly 
degraded HF conditions for 17 August for southern Aus/NZ regions 
as the result of anticipated mildly elevated levels of geomagnetic 
activity. SWFs are expected to continue for the next two days, 
due to active solar region. 
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Gloassary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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