[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 November 03

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z NOVEMBER 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Nov    66    Fair-normal    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 X3/2F    0955UT  probable   all    Mid East/Indian
 X2/2B    0130UT  probable   all    E. Asia/Aust.
 M3/SF    1532UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to deppressed upto 20%
      during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.


PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 02 11 2003 1120UT and is 
in progress

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  52
2. FORECAST (04 NOVEMBER - 06 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Nov    15    Normal-poor      near monthly prediceted values/ 
                                 depressed upto 25% 
05 Nov    30    Fair-normal      depressed 05 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values     
06 Nov    80    Normal           05 to 15% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 83 was issued on 3 
November and is current for interval 3-5 November. HF conditions 
in Aus/NZ region are expected to show mild to strong depressions 
and degradations on 04 and 05 November. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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