[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 November 03

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 02/2330Z NOVEMBER 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Nov    63    Fair-normal    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.2 01/2238UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M1.0    0756UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M1.8    1247UT  possible   lower  European
  X8.4    1725UT  probable   all    South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.


PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 02 11 2003 1120UT and is in progress

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  52
2. FORECAST (03 NOVEMBER - 05 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Nov    50    Normal           near predicted monthly values 
04 Nov    15    Normal-poor      10 to 25% below predicted monthly 
                                 values     
05 Nov    25    Fair-normal      10 to 15% below predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 82 was issued on 31 October 
and is current for interval 1-3 November (SWFs) . HF conditions 
in Aus/NZ region are expected to show mild to strong depressions 
and degradations on 04 and 05 November. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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