[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 October 02

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/2330Z OCTOBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Oct    93    Poor-fair      

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/1F    1422UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15-30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed 10-20% below predicted monthly values.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  94
2. FORECAST (16 OCTOBER - 18 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Oct    95    Poor-fair        near predicted monthly values 
17 Oct   115    Fair-normal      about 10% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
18 Oct   100    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values    
COMMENT: Isolated depressions observed mid to high latitudes 
after local dawn today and may continue into the local day. A 
possible CME induced shock may arrive late in the UT day Oct 
16. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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