[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 October 02

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Oct 15 10:04:12 EST 2002


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 14/2330Z OCTOBER 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Oct   141    Normal-fair    

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M2/SF    0010UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced 20-30% over UT day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 20-30% over UT day.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 10-20% during first half UT day.
      Slightly below predicted monthly values second half UT
      day.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Isolated depressions of 10-30%.


PCA Event : No event.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  94
2. FORECAST (15 OCTOBER - 17 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Oct   130    Normal-Fair      10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values 
16 Oct   150    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values     
17 Oct   135    Normal           10 to 20% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
COMMENT: Isolated depressions possible at high latitudes with 
associated geomagnetic activity. A possible CME induced shock 
may arrive late in the UT day Oct 16. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 



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