ips-geostat-system -- GEOmagnetic STorm Alert Tracking System

 

About ips-geostat-system
English (USA)

ASWFC GEOSTAT (GEOmagnetic STorm Alert Tracking System) provides 6 alerts that are issued at different stages along the passage of a Solar event from its origin to its impact as a Geomagnetic Storm.
The lead time for GEOSTAT alerts ranges from 3 to 4 days for GEOSTAT-5 to "STORM IN PROGRESS" for GEOSTAT-0. As the alert tracks from GEOSTAT-5 down to GEOSTAT-0 the likelyhood of a geomagnetic storm increases.


ALERT SPACE WEATHER EVENT OBSERVED PROBABILITY OF EVENT ESTIMATED LEAD TIME

GEOSTAT 5 Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) observed Geomagnetic storm possible Within 3 days
on the Sun
GEOSTAT 4 Precursor CME particles detected by satellite Geomagnetic storm possible Within 1 day

GEOSTAT 3 CME shock front detected by satellite Geomagnetic storm probable Within 12 hours

GEOSTAT 2 CME impacts to the geomagnetic field Geomagnetic storm probable Within 12 hours
with a Sudden Impulse (SI) detected
GEOSTAT 1 Sustained period of strong southward Geomagnetic storm highly probable Within 3 hours
Interplanetary Magnetic Field(IMF) detected
GEOSTAT 0 Geomagnetic 3-hourly K index >= 7 measured Geomagnetic storm in progress Zero hours

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