From aswfc at bom.gov.au Fri Aug 1 11:49:24 2025 From: aswfc at bom.gov.au (Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2025 11:49:24 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (01 August 25) issued 0149 UT on 01 Aug 2025 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <688c1d24.b7boX8KSq5gUqHKg%aswfc@bom.gov.au> SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 01 AUGUST 2025 FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (25 JULY - 31 JULY) Date 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 10cm 148 143 145 145 152 149 145 AFr 10 11 5 7 8 9 ( 9) Aaus 4 7 2 4 4 4 ( 5) T 105 99 98 88 105 105 102 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 25 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 30% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Southern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 26 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 40% during local day. Enhanced by 20% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 27 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 35% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 28 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 29 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 30 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 31 Jul Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day. Enhanced by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 15% over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (01 AUGUST - 07 AUGUST) Solar: R0 with a chance of R1 in the later half of the week. Geomagnetic: G0 throughout the week with a chance of G1 on 04-05 Aug. Frequencies: MUFs near predicted monthly values throughout the week with mild depressions possible on 05-06 Aug in the southern Australian region. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au From aswfc at bom.gov.au Fri Aug 8 11:35:35 2025 From: aswfc at bom.gov.au (Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2025 11:35:35 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (08 August 25) issued 0135 UT on 08 Aug 2025 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <68955467./qhqe4w1ADjmV1aH%aswfc@bom.gov.au> SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 08 AUGUST 2025 FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (01 AUGUST - 07 AUGUST) Date 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 10cm 146 146 146 142 156 158 151 AFr 13 9 0 0 0 0 ( 8) Aaus 7 5 4 6 5 3 ( 1) T 94 99 101 100 95 90 92 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 01 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 02 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 03 Aug Solar: R1, with an M2.9 at 1357UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day. Enhanced by 25% during local night. Depressed by 30% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 04 Aug Solar: R1, with an M2.0 at 0457UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 55% during local day. Enhanced by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 05 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.1 at 0212UT, and an M4.4 at 1553UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Enhanced by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 06 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.0 at 1702UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 40% during local day. No data available during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 07 Aug Solar: R1, with an M2.2 at 0232UT, and an M3.9 at 1131UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (08 AUGUST - 14 AUGUST) Solar: Solar activity is expected to be at the R1 level this week, with a chance of R2. Flare activity may decline once AR4168 rotates over the western limb on UT day 12-Aug. Geomagnetic: G0-G1 geomagnetic conditions are generally expected this week due to the combined effects of a large recurrent southern hemisphere coronal hole and a possible CME arrival on 08-Aug. Frequencies: MUFs in the Australian region are expected to be mostly near predicted monthly values this week. Mild depressions are possible if the expected geomagnetic activity eventuates. Shortwave fadeouts are possible. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au From aswfc at bom.gov.au Fri Aug 15 12:36:46 2025 From: aswfc at bom.gov.au (Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2025 12:36:46 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (15 August 25) issued 0236 UT on 15 Aug 2025 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <689e9d3e.ZIDBIO3D6Ydy5UPY%aswfc@bom.gov.au> SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 15 AUGUST 2025 FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (08 AUGUST - 14 AUGUST) Date 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 10cm 148 140 153 146 152 140 130 AFr 18 27 17 0 14 15 ( 10) Aaus 13 23 15 10 9 11 ( 6) T 82 107 95 79 91 88 91 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 08 Aug Solar: R1, with an M2.8 at 0353UT, and an M1.0 at 1910UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 09 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.6 at 1621UT Geomagnetic: G1 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Enhanced by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 35% over the UT day. 10 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.7 at 0312UT, an M2.2 at 1507UT, and an M1.7 at 2305UT Geomagnetic: G1 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Enhanced by 30% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 25% over the UT day. 11 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.7 at 2305UT, an M1.3 at 0352UT, an M1.5 at 1435UT, and an M1.6 at 1536UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 35% during local day. Enhanced by 40% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 25% over the UT day. 12 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.5 at 0059UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Depressed by 25% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 20% over the UT day. 13 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 30% during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 14 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: R0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 15% over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (15 AUGUST - 21 AUGUST) Solar: Solar activity over 15-21 Aug is expected to be at the R0 level with a chance of R1. Geomagnetic: G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected over 15-17 Aug. G0-G1 conditions are expected over 18-21 Aug due to anticipated coronal hole high speed wind stream effects. Frequencies: MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values over 15-17 Aug. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15% depressed over 18-21 Aug. Due to anticipated geomagnetic activity. Depressions are expected to be mostly in the southern Australian region For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au From aswfc at bom.gov.au Fri Aug 22 11:38:57 2025 From: aswfc at bom.gov.au (Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2025 11:38:57 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (22 August 25) issued 0138 UT on 22 Aug 2025 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <68a7ca31.iM2PgBZ1Ht8pT0zC%aswfc@bom.gov.au> SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 22 AUGUST 2025 FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (15 AUGUST - 21 AUGUST) Date 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 10cm 123 122 117 114 116 120 121 AFr 10 6 5 7 19 12 ( 7) Aaus 4 3 2 4 13 7 ( 5) T 97 93 94 93 96 107 93 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 15 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 15% over the UT day. 16 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 17 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 18 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Enhanced by 35% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 19 Aug Solar: R1 with an M1.1 at 0440UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 20 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 20% over the UT day. 21 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: No data available during local day. No data available during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (22 AUGUST - 28 AUGUST) Solar: Solar activity is expected to be at the R0 level, with a chance of R1 over 22-24 Aug. Flare activity may mildly increase late on 24-Aug due to possible returning regions AR4168 and AR4173. Geomagnetic: G0 conditions are expected over 22-25 Aug. G0-G1 geomagnetic conditions are expected from the 26th due to a northern hemisphere coronal hole. Frequencies: MUFs near predicted monthly values for the week with possible mild depressions from the 26th. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au From aswfc at bom.gov.au Fri Aug 29 12:35:42 2025 From: aswfc at bom.gov.au (Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2025 12:35:42 +1000 Subject: [Ips-wsgr] ASWFC Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (29 August 25) issued 0235 UT on 29 Aug 2025 [SEC=OFFICIAL] Message-ID: <68b111fe.VE42WcC8UUIzKx8X%aswfc@bom.gov.au> SUBJ: ASWFC WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED ON 29 AUGUST 2025 FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECASTING CENTRE ASWAS SCALE DESCRIPTION: https://bit.ly/3lmaMBx 1. SUMMARY (22 AUGUST - 28 AUGUST) Date 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 10cm 136 143 152 175 202 226 232 AFr 9 7 0 8 8 9 ( 8) Aaus 5 2 2 4 4 4 ( 4) T 94 95 86 90 101 102 104 Solar: Solar flare activity Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region. Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies 22 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.7 at 1851UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: No data available during local day. No data available during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 23 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.9 at 2006UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: No data available during local day. No data available during local night. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 20% during local day. Enhanced by 45% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 24 Aug Solar: R1, with an M1.3 at 0836UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: No data available during local day. No data available during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 25 Aug Solar: R1, with an M4.5 at 0524UT, and an M1.2 at 1518UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: No data available. Niue Island Region:Moderate Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 26 Aug Solar: R1, with an M3.3 at 0030UT, an M4.5 at 0525UT, and an M1.0 at 1407UT Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: No data available. Niue Island Region: Enhanced by 25% during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Enhanced by 15% during local day. Enhanced by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed. 27 Aug Solar: R0 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: No data available during local day. No data available during local night. Niue Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 28 Aug Solar: R1 Geomagnetic: G0 Frequencies: Cocos Island Region: No data available during local day. No data available during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 2. FORECAST (29 AUGUST - 04 SEPTEMBER) Solar: Solar activity is expected to be at the R1 level with a chance of R2 for the forecasting period. Flare activity may continue from Region AR4197 showing complex magnetic complexity with growth development. Geomagnetic: G0 conditions are expected over 29 Aug-04 Sep. Frequencies: MUFs near predicted monthly values on all days with brief shortwave fadeouts possible. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre Bureau of Meteorology ASWFC at bom.gov.au www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au