[Ips-wsgr] SWS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (08 September 17) issued 0300 UT on 08 Sep 2017 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

Fri Sep 8 13:00:21 EST 2017

SUBJ: **** Corrected Version***SWS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 08 SEPTEMBER 2017, BY Space Weather Services,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (01 SEPTEMBER - 07 SEPTEMBER)
Date     01    02    03    04    05    06    07
10cm     93   100   120   183   121   133   129
AFr      17    25    10    16    11    18  ( 21)
Aaus     12    13     5     8     7     6  ( 21)
T        12    20    23    29    35    31    44

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

01 Sep 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

02 Sep 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

03 Sep 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Sep 
Solar:        High, with an M1.2 at 0550UT, an M1.4 at 1531UT, 
              an C9.0 at 1823UT, an M1.6 at 1940UT, and an M5.5 
              at 2033UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Sep 
Solar:        High, with an C9.0 at 2246UT, an C9.0 at 0037UT, 
              an M4.2 at 0108UT, an C9.0 at 0354UT, an M3.1 at 
              0455UT, an M3.8 at 0640UT, and an M2.2 at 1744UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

06 Sep 
Solar:        High, with an M7.7 at 0928UT, an X9.3 at 1202UT, 
              an M1.0 at 1731UT, an M1.4 at 1931UT, and an M1.2 
              at 2339UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
In the SWS magnetometer data for 06 Sep, a weak (10nT) impulse 
was observed at 2344UT.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
       Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

07 Sep 
Solar:        High, with an M1.2 at 2339UT, an M2.4 at 0502UT, 
              an M1.5 at 0954UT, an M7.3 at 1015UT, and an X1.4 
              at 1436UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Major Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      No data available over the UT day.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

2. FORECAST (08 SEPTEMBER - 14 SEPTEMBER)
Solar: 
Solar: 
Moderate to High with a chance of Very High solar activity, early in the week.
Possible SWFs

Geomagnetic:  
Major to Sever Storm conditions on 08 Sep. Active to Major Storm on 09-10 Sep. 
Quiet to Active on other days.

Frequencies:
Overnight depressions on 08 Sep.
Moderate to Severe MUF depressions on 09 -10 Sep.
MUFs near predicted monthly values to moderately depressed on other days.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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