[Ips-wsgr] SWS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (21 October 16) issued 0121 UT on 21 Oct 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Oct 21 12:21:43 EST 2016
SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED ON 21 OCTOBER 2016, BY Space Weather Services,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
1. SUMMARY (14 OCTOBER - 20 OCTOBER)
Date 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
10cm 93 85 81 76 77 77 75
AFr 20 8 13 12 10 5 ( 3)
Aaus 7 9 12 17 6 5 ( 2)
T -35 3 17 12 -0 -9 1
Solar: Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies
14 Oct
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Depressed by 55% during local day.
Depressed by 30% during local night.
Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
No data available.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 50% during local day.
Depressed by 35% during local night.
Depressed by 45% after local dawn.
Southern Australian Region:
Depressed by 35% during local day.
Depressed by 45% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Depressed by 20% over the UT day.
15 Oct
Solar: Very low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Depressed by 25% during local day.
Depressed by 30% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
No data available.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 45% during local day.
Depressed by 30% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Depressed by 15% over the UT day.
16 Oct
Solar: Very low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
No data available during.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Depressed by 15% over the UT day.
17 Oct
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Depressed by 20% during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
18 Oct
Solar: Very low
Geomagnetic: Quiet, with some unsettled and active periods on
high latitudes.
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 30% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Depressed by 25% during local day.
Depressed by 25% during local night.
Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
19 Oct
Solar: Very low
Geomagnetic: Quiet on most locations with some unsettled and
active periods on high latitudes.
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 40% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 30% during local day.
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Depressed by 30% during local day.
Depressed by 25% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
20 Oct
Solar: Very low
Geomagnetic: Quiet
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 25% during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
2. FORECAST (21 OCTOBER - 27 OCTOBER)
Solar:
Very Low with slight chance of C-class flare
Geomagnetic:
Quiet on 21 October, Quiet to Active on 22 Oct. Unsettled to minor storm from 23
to 25 October. Unsettled to Active on 26 October.
Quiet to unsettled on 27 October.
Frequencies:
Minor to moderate MUF depressions possible throughout this period with the
possibility of significant MUF depressions from 23 to 25 October.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Space Weather Services email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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