[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (15 January 16) issued 0059 UT on 15 Jan 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 15 JANUARY 2016, BY Space Weather Services,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (08 JANUARY - 14 JANUARY)
Date     08    09    10    11    12    13    14
10cm    109   107   109   108   106   104   103
AFr       6     5     7     9    10    11  (  8)
Aaus      7     4     5    10    11     9  (  6)
T        61    68    80    91    45    94    68

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

08 Jan 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

09 Jan 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

10 Jan 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

11 Jan 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

12 Jan 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

13 Jan 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

14 Jan 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (15 JANUARY - 21 JANUARY)
Solar: 
Very Low to Low. C class flares possible. 

Geomagnetic:  
Quiet to unsettled conditions. Unsettled to active 17-18 Jan.

Frequencies:  
MUFs near predicted monthly values.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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