[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (19 February 16) issued 0212 UT on 19 Feb 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Feb 19 13:12:27 EST 2016
SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED ON 19 FEBRUARY 2016, BY Space Weather Services,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
1. SUMMARY (12 FEBRUARY - 18 FEBRUARY)
Date 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
10cm 112 110 108 107 104 100 95
AFr 11 7 6 10 25 21 ( 24)
Aaus 10 7 6 6 18 17 ( 19)
T 59 79 82 68 80 36 50
Solar: Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies
12 Feb
Solar: Moderate, with an M1.0 at 1048UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 30% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Depressed by 15% over the UT day.
13 Feb
Solar: Moderate, with an M1.8 at 1524UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
14 Feb
Solar: Moderate, with an M1.0 at 1926UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 55% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
15 Feb
Solar: Moderate, with an M1.2 at 1100UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 60% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
16 Feb
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Active
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
17 Feb
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Active
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day.
Depressed by 25% during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian Region:
Depressed by 20% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
18 Feb
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Unsettled to Active
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 40% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Depressed by 20% over the UT day.
2. FORECAST (19 FEBRUARY - 25 FEBRUARY)
Solar: Low, chance of Moderate
Geomagnetic: Active on 19 Feb. Quiet to unsettled on
other days.
Frequencies: Briefly depressed after local dawn on 19 Feb,
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Space Weather Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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