[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (09 October 15) issued 0122 UT on 09 Oct 2015

Fri Oct 9 12:22:18 EST 2015

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 09 OCTOBER 2015, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (02 OCTOBER - 08 OCTOBER)
Date     02    03    04    05    06    07    08
10cm    107    97    88    83    81    81    80
AFr       9    10    16    12    11    44  ( 38)
Aaus      7     7    11    10    10    28  ( 25)
T        43    50    38    29    12    24   -25

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

02 Oct 
Solar:        High, with an M5.5 at 0013UT, and an M1.0 at 1226UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

03 Oct 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Oct 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.0 at 0241UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 45% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

06 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

07 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 50% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 45% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day.

08 Oct 
Solar:        Very low
Geomagnetic:  Unsettled to Minor Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 45% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 50% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 45% during local day.
      Depressed by 50% during local night.
      Depressed by 45% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 30% over the UT day.

2. FORECAST (09 OCTOBER - 15 OCTOBER)
Solar: 
Very Low

Geomagnetic:  
Active on 9 Oct,  11-12 Oct.   Quiet to unsettled on other days.

Frequencies:  
MUFs are expected to continue to be depressed 10 to 40%.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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