[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (31 October 14) issued 0032 UT on 31 Oct 2014

Fri Oct 31 11:32:27 EST 2014

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 31 OCTOBER 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (24 OCTOBER - 30 OCTOBER)
Date     24    25    26    27    28    29    30
10cm    218   219   217   188   167   150   140
AFr       9     9    11    15    11     7 (  7)
Aaus      8     6     6     8     8     4 (  4)
T       109   115   125   122    92   100   113

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

24 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an M4.0 at 0748UT, an X2.2 at 2121UT, 
              and an X3.2 at 2141UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with 20-40%
      enhancements 12-17, 20-21 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 35-50% 00-05 UT then near predicted
      monthly values to 20% enhanced.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
      12-14 UT at Townsville and 20-35% 10-13, 20-22 UT
      at Darwin.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Some enhancements to
      25% around 09-15 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 40% enhanced.

25 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an X1.0 at 1709UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-60%
      09-17, 21 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
      00-02, 11-12, 21-23 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
      10-13, 17 UT at Darwin and 20-30% 11-13, 16-18
      UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Some enhancements
      to 25% 11-19 UT. Night spread F at Hobart.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
      No Scott Base data 12-23 UT.

26 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an X2.0 at 1056UT, an M1.0 at 1216UT, 
              an M1.0 at 1718UT, an M4.2 at 1815UT, an M1.9 at 
              1849UT, and an M2.4 at 2024UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
      14-20 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 45-70% 00-11 UT. Enhanced 20-35%
      12-18 UT then near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
      11-14, 18-20 UT at Darwin. Enhanced 20-30% 02-06,
      11-14, 17-23 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with 20-30% enhancements
      after 09 UT. Near predicted monthly values at Learmonth
      and Perth. Spread F at Hobart 10-17 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.

27 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an M6.9 at 0026UT, an M1.0 at 0204UT, 
              an M1.3 at 0341UT, an M1.0 at 0911UT, an M2.2 at 
              0941UT, an M6.7 at 1011UT, an X2.1 at 1447UT, and 
              an M1.4 at 1742UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

28 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an M6/-- at 0332UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

29 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an M1.0 at 0822UT, an M1.2 at 1002UT, 
              an M1.4 at 1435UT, an M1.0 at 1621UT, an M1.3 at 
              1850UT, and an M2.3 at 2122UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

30 Oct 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.3 at 0037UT, an M3.5 at 0136UT, 
              and an M1.2 at 0429UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

2. FORECAST (31 OCTOBER - 06 NOVEMBER)
Solar: 
Low

Geomagnetic:  
Quiet to unsettled conditions.

Frequencies:  
MUFs near predicted monthly values to slightly enhanced.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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