[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (03 January 14) issued 0149 UT on 03 Jan 2014
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Jan 3 12:49:43 EST 2014
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED ON 03 JANUARY 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
1. SUMMARY (27 DECEMBER - 02 JANUARY)
Date 27 28 29 30 31 01 02
10cm 131 135 137 143 145 160 161
AFr 3 4 4 2 6 11 ( 15)
Aaus 2 3 5 3 7 13 ( 12)
T 122 135 132 136 117 106 88
Solar: Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic: Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies: Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies
27 Dec
Solar: low
Geomagnetic: Quiet
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 50% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.
28 Dec
Solar: low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.
Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.
29 Dec
Solar: moderate, with an M3.1 at 0756UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
30 Dec
Solar: low
Geomagnetic: Quiet
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
31 Dec
Solar: high, with an M6.4 at 2159UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available during local day.
No data available during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
01 Jan
Solar: high, with an M9.9 at 1852UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Active
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available during local day.
No data available during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
02 Jan
Solar: moderate, with an M1.7 at 0234UT, and an M1.2 at
2218UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:
Cocos Island Region:
No data available during local day.
No data available during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
2. FORECAST (03 JANUARY - 09 JANUARY)
Solar:
Moderate activity early in week.
Geomagnetic:
Gradual decline from Active to Unsettled and then to Quiet in the first half of
the week. Mostly Quiet
through the second half of the week.
Frequencies:
MUFs mostly near predicted monthly values during the first half of the week.
Minor to mild MUF enhancements possible
in the second half of the week.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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