[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (22 August 14) issued 0138 UT on 22 Aug 2014

Fri Aug 22 11:38:28 EST 2014

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 22 AUGUST 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (15 AUGUST - 21 AUGUST)
Date     15    16    17    18    19    20    21
10cm    113   112   115   111   111   118   128
AFr       6     4     9     5    14     7 ( 10)
Aaus      2     1     4     2    13     4 (  5)
T        49    50    66    61    71    71    71

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

15 Aug 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 40% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

16 Aug 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 45% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

17 Aug 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Mostly quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

18 Aug 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed 15-20% 00-06 UT, depressed 25-40%
      13-23 UT. Near predicted monthly values 07-12 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed 20-30% during 01-03, 19-23 UT. Enhanced
      25-50% 10-11 UT. Near predicted monthly values at
      other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed 20-30% 01-04, 12-14 20-21 UT at Darwin
      Depressed 15-30% 05-07, 11-16, 23 UT at Townsville.
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 15% depressed.
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed to 25% at Norfolk Is, Learmonth and Perth
      mostly after 10 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced.

19 Aug 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressed 20-35%
      04, 15-21, 23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressed 20-35%
      01-02, 06-13, 17 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 15% depressed.
      Depressed at Darwin 20-40% 00, 03 07, 10, 12-16
      21, 23 UT. Depressed 20% at Townsville 00, 04, 23 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements of
      20-35% 15-22 UT except at Hobart and Learmonth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.

20 Aug 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-50% 07-13 UT. Depressed 20-35% 15-23 UT.
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed 20-45% 00-01, 11-15, 23 UT. Near
      predicted monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed 20-40% 00, 02-04, 13-19, 21 UT at Darwin.
      Depressed 20-30% 02-04, 11-16, 22-23 UT at Townsville.
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Some depressions to 20% 00-06, 11-13 UT, otherwise
      mostly near predicted monthly values. Hobart MUFs
      were 15-35% depressed.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed 20-40% starting to recover in the last
      few hours.

21 Aug 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M3.4 flare at 1332 UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed 25-35% 03, 20-23 UT. Enhanced 25-50%
      07-13 UT. Near predicted monthly values at
      other times.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed 15-20% 01-15 UT. Near predicted
      monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed 20-30% 02, 11, 15, 18 UT, depressed
      40-50% 12-14, 16 UT at Darwin. Depressed 25-40%
      11-14 UT at Townsville. Near predicted monthly
      values at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values. Some
      depressions to 20% 00-02, 11-15, 22-23 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.

2. FORECAST (22 AUGUST - 28 AUGUST)
Solar: 
Low with possibility of moderate activity.

Geomagnetic:  
Quiet to unsettled conditions.

Frequencies:  
Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed. Chance of
sudden ionospheric disturbances (SWFs).

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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