[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (01 November 13) issued 0328 UT on 01 Nov 2013

Fri Nov 1 14:28:28 EST 2013

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 01 NOVEMBER 2013, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (25 OCTOBER - 31 OCTOBER)
Date     25    26    27    28    29    30    31
10cm    161   165   167   160   153   142   143
AFr       3     3     2     2     3    10 ( 11)
Aaus      3     2     3     3     6    11 (  7)
T       100   115   114   114   117   107    70

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

25 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an M2.9 at 0303UT, an X1.7 at 0801UT, 
              an M1.0 at 0955UT, an M1.0 at 1016UT, an X2.1 at 
              1504UT, an M1.3 at 1710UT, an M2.3 at 1921UT, and 
              an M1.9 at 2058UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available 
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.

26 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an M2.3 at 0607UT, an M1.2 at 0927UT, 
              an M1.5 at 0938UT, an M1.8 at 1118UT, an M3.1 at 
              1927UT, and an M1.0 at 1955UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

27 Oct 
Solar:        moderate, with an M3.5 at 1248UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Darwin enhanced by 50% 10-16UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

28 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an X1.0 at 0203UT, an M5.1 at 0441UT, 
              an M1.4 at 1155UT, an M2.8 at 1406UT, an M2.7 at 
              1501UT, an M4.4 at 1516UT, and an M1.5 at 2057UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

29 Oct 
Solar:        high, with an X2.3 at 2154UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

30 Oct 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

31 Oct 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.9 at 1352UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

2. FORECAST (01 NOVEMBER - 07 NOVEMBER)
Solar: Low to Moderate activity early in week, declining to Low.

Geomagnetic: Chance of Active periods on 1 Nov, otherwise mostly
Quiet to unsettled on other days.

Frequencies: Chance of depressions on 1 November with MUFs mostly
near predicted monthly values on other days. SWFs possible early in
the week.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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