[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (13 December 13) issued 0146 UT on 13 Dec 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 13 DECEMBER 2013, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (06 DECEMBER - 12 DECEMBER)
Date     06    07    08    09    10    11    12
10cm    151   157   166   168   175   171   165
AFr       3     4    14     2     3     2    (3)
Aaus      4     5    19     4     4     2    (1)
T       131   133   114   116   133   134   142

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

06 Dec 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
      00-03, 11-12 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-08, 22-23 UT.
      Enhanced 15-25% 09-12 UT, then 30-50% enhanced.
      No Townsville data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values until about
      12 UT then enhanced 20-35%. Perth MUFs 20-40%
      enhanced. Some sporadic E 04-11 UT eastern stations
      03-06, 20-22 UT at Perth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

07 Dec 
Solar:        Moderate, with an M1.2 at 0734UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-07, 14, 18-23
      UT. Enhanced 15-40% at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-11, 23 UT. Enhanced
      20-40% 12-23 UT. No Townsville data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-05, 20-23 UT.
      Enhanced 20-35% at other times. Perth, near predicted
      monthly values 00-16 UT then enhanced 25-35%. Sporadic
      E mostly 06-11 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

08 Dec 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Minor Storm
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-40% 04-12, 19 UT. Near predicted
      monthly values at other times. Strong sporadic
      E 15-17 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 02-19 UT. Enhanced
      20-30% at other times. No Townsville data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced 20-30% mostly 04-09 UT. Otherwise mostly near
      predicted monthly values. Sporadic E at Christchurch
      12-23 UT, Hobart 13-15, 18, 22-23 UT and on occasions
      at other east Australia stations 00-10, 21-23 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Generally weak ionosphere along with sporadic E.
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.

09 Dec 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

10 Dec 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

11 Dec 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

12 Dec 
Solar:        Low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (13 DECEMBER - 19 DECEMBER)
Solar: Low to Moderate activity for the forecast period.

Geomagnetic: Mostly Quiet conditions. Chance of Active to Minor Storm periods
13Dec-14Dec due to coronal hole effects.

Frequencies: MUFs near predicted monthly values to enhanced by 15% for low 
to high latitudes.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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