[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (22 October 14) issued 0007 UT on 22 Oct 2014

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED ON 22 OCTOBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 OCTOBER - 21 OCTOBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
15 Oct   95      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

16 Oct  103      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
       Near predicted monthly values.

17 Oct  106      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

18 Oct   95      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

19 Oct   90      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

20 Oct  100      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced
      25-50% 07-15, 21-23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced
      20-30% 02-05, 15-18 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced to 25%
      at Darwin 11-14, 22 UT. Depressions to 30% 22-23 UT
      at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Some stations depressed to 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.

21 Oct   68      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
      08-15 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-35% 00-05, 10-12, 22-23 UT. Near
      predicted monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions of
      20-30% 00-01 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressions of 15-30% 00-09 UT then near predicted
      monthly values. Perth MUFs also depressed 15-25%
      09-23 UT. Learmonth and Norfolk Is mostly near
      predicted monthly values 00-23 UT. Night spread F
      observed at Canberra, Hobart and Perth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values with occasional
      depressions to 25%.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  86

2. FORECAST (22 OCTOBER - 28 OCTOBER) 
MUFS: Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced. Possible
depressions to 20% on 24 Oct.

Propagation conditions: Normal, possibly fair on 24 Oct. SWFs
possible.

T index: 100

3. OUTLOOK (29 OCTOBER - 28 NOVEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: none

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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