[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (29 January 14) issued 0106 UT on 29 Jan 2014

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED ON 29 JANUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (22 JANUARY - 28 JANUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
22 Jan  105      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

23 Jan  121      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

24 Jan  113      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

25 Jan  131      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

26 Jan  105      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

27 Jan  118      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 20-40% 01-14, 17-18 UT. Enhanced 60-70%
      15-16 UT. Near predicted monthly values at other
      times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values 00-05, 22-23 UT.
      Enhanced 20-40% at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
      Blanketing sporadic E 02-03 UT at Hobart.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

28 Jan  123      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced 25-55% 07-19 UT. Near predicted monthly
      values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced 15-25% 09-21 UT at Darwin and 25-30%
      06-20 UT at Townsville. Near predicted monthly
      values at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced 15-30% 05-20 UT. Perth frequencies enhanced
      15-30% enhanced 00-01, 10-23 UT. Near predicted
      monthly values at other times.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 40% enhanced.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  73

2. FORECAST (29 JANUARY - 04 FEBRUARY) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.
MUFs may be near predicted monthly values on 30 Jan.

Propagation conditions: Normal to good. SWFs probable.
IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 5 was issued on 27 January 
and is current for 28-30 Jan.

T index: 115


3. OUTLOOK (05 FEBRUARY - 07 MARCH)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
No significant degraded periods expected.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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