[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (30 October 13) issued 0316 UT on 30 Oct 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED ON 30 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (23 OCTOBER - 29 OCTOBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
23 Oct  107      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements of
      25-30% 11, 14-16, 22-23 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values, enhanced 15-25%
      05-06, 10-12, 23 UT and 35-50% 14-15 UT at Darwin.
      Enhanced about 15% 00-05 UT at Townsville,
      thereafter, no data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

24 Oct   87      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

25 Oct  100      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available 
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.

26 Oct  115      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

27 Oct  114      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Darwin enhanced by 50% 10-16UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

28 Oct  114      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

29 Oct  117      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for October:  72

2. FORECAST (30 OCTOBER - 05 NOVEMBER) 
MUFS: Possible depressions 31 Oct - 2 Nov, otherwise MUFs
mostly near predicted monthly values on other days.

Propagation conditions: Normal-Fair for 31 Oct - 2 Nov, otherwise normal.
SWFs probable early in week.

T index: 72
IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 31 was issued on 29 October 
and is current for 29-30 Oct. IPS Preliminary HF Communications 
Warning 32 was issued on 30 October and is current for 31 Oct 
to 1 Nov.

3. OUTLOOK (06 NOVEMBER - 06 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
No significantly depressed periods expected. SWF activity possible.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
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