[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (10 November 10)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 10/0200Z NOVEMBER 2010 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (03 NOVEMBER - 09 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
03 Nov   10      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near monthly predicted values to depressed by 
      15% over the UT day.

04 Nov    8      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

05 Nov   12      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

06 Nov   11      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

07 Nov   20      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

08 Nov   24      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions 15-35%
      01-03 and 14-18 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions 15-35%
      03, 13-17 and 21 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions 15-30%
      00-02 and 23 UT at Darwin and 23 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 25%
      02-06 UT at Norfolk Is.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      12, 14-17 UT at Macquarie Is.

09 Nov   19      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      02-05 UT. No data 13-21 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      18-22 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 30%
      00-01, 15-17 and 23 UT at Darwin and 00-01 and 22-23 UT
      at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 20%
      00-01, 17-21 and 23 UT at Brisbane and 00-06 UT at
      Norfolk Is.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      13-17 UT at Macquarie Is. and to 20% 10-11 UT at Casey.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  33
2. FORECAST (10 NOVEMBER - 16 NOVEMBER) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values with occasional
depressions to 30% at all latitudes. Depressions to 30%
likely latter half of 13 to 15 Nov.
Propagation conditions: Fair to normal. Chance of SWFs
T index:  20

3. OUTLOOK (17 NOVEMBER - 17 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 19 to 24 Nov.,
 11 to 12 Dec. and 16 to 17 Dec. 

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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