[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (05 November 08)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/0200Z NOVEMBER 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (29 OCTOBER - 04 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
29 Oct  -10      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

30 Oct  -18      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

31 Oct  -14      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

01 Nov  -14      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

02 Nov  -18      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

03 Nov  -25      Poor-fair         
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Frequencies at Niue were near predicted with
      depressions to 50% at times 03-04, 07-11 and 14-21 UT.
      Frequencies at Vanimo were near predicted with
      depressions to 30% 14-16, 20 and 22 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted with depressions to 30% 03-05 and 09-21
      UT (Cocos Is.), 11-19 UT (Brisbane/Townsville). No
      Darwin data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted with depressions to 30%, 02-05 and 10-17
      UT (Norfolk Is.), 00-16 UT (Canberra/Hobart), 02, 11-14
      UT (Christchurch) and 00-05, 13-21 UT (Learmonth).
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

04 Nov  -17      Poor-fair         
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Niue: near predicted with depressions to 50% at times
      05, 08-16 and 19-21 UT. Vanimo: near predicted with
      depressions to 35% at times 14-17 and 20 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted with depressions to 50% at some
      stations during 00-04 and 10-20 UT. At Cocos Is.,
      frequencies were near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Frequencies at Christchurch and Hobart were near
      predicted monthly values. At Canberra and Learmonth,
      frequencies were near predicted with depressions to
      30% mostly during 11-18 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:   3

2. FORECAST (05 NOVEMBER - 11 NOVEMBER) 
MUFS: Near predicted monthly values with depressions. Deeper
depressions expected on 6 and 7 November.
Propagation conditions: Fair-Poor. No SWFs expected.

3. OUTLOOK (12 NOVEMBER - 12 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: general degradations
expected to continue.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
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