[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (28 June 06)

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 28/0200Z JUNE 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (21 JUNE - 27 JUNE)
Date   T index   Conditions        
21 Jun   18      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 70% over the UT day.

22 Jun   19      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 35% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 90% over the UT day.

23 Jun   19      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 60% over the UT day.

24 Jun   21      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     No data available during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 70% over the UT day.

25 Jun   16      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     No data available during local day,
     No data available during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 45% over the UT day.

26 Jun   17      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 85% over the UT day.

27 Jun   22      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 120% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:  15
2. FORECAST (28 JUNE - 04 JULY) 
MUFS: briefly depressed after local dawn 28 Jun to 4 Jul
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.
Propagation conditions: Fair 28-Jun Fair 29-Jun Fair 04-Jul , otherwise normal. No SWFs
T index:   20

3. OUTLOOK (05 JULY - 04 AUGUST)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
05-Jul,12-Jul,26-Jul,31-Jul to 01-Aug.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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