[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (16 November 05)

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 16/0200Z NOVEMBER 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (09 NOVEMBER - 15 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
09 Nov   28      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
     Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

10 Nov   27      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

11 Nov   19      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 30% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

12 Nov   23      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

13 Nov    1      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Depressed by 25% during local day,
     Depressed by 35% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Depressed by 30% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

14 Nov   -6      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Depressed by 20% during local day,
     Depressed by 25% during local night.
     Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

15 Nov   14      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  20
2. FORECAST (16 NOVEMBER - 22 NOVEMBER) 
MUFS: briefly depressed after local dawn on 21 Nov
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.
Propagation conditions: Fair 21-Nov , otherwise normal. SWfs probable early in week.
T index:   15

3. OUTLOOK (23 NOVEMBER - 23 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
30-Nov to 01-Dec.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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