[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (15 June 05)

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/0200Z JUNE 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (08 JUNE - 14 JUNE)
Date   T index   Conditions        
08 Jun   39      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 25% during local day,
     Depressed by 20% during local night.
     Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

09 Jun   42      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 20% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

10 Jun   34      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 40% over the UT day.

11 Jun   38      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

12 Jun   37      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

13 Jun   27      Fair              
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 15% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Enhanced by 40% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Depressed by 30% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

14 Jun   25      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:  26
2. FORECAST (15 JUNE - 21 JUNE) 
MUFS: briefly depressed after local dawn 15 to 16 Jun
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.
Propagation conditions: Fair 15-Jun Fair-Poor 16-Jun , otherwise normal. No SWFs
T index:   25

3. OUTLOOK (22 JUNE - 22 JULY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
24-Jun,02-Jul to 04-Jul,10-Jul,13-Jul,21-Jul.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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