[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (05 January 05)
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Jan 5 11:14:48 EST 2005
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/0200Z JANUARY 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (29 DECEMBER - 04 JANUARY)
Date T index Conditions
29 Dec 16 Normal-Fair
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Depressed by 20% during local day,
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Depressed by 20% during local day,
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Depressed by 20% during local day,
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
30 Dec 42 Fair-normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
31 Dec 79 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
No data available during local day,
Depressed by 25% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day,
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
01 Jan 70 Normal-Fair
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,
Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
02 Jan 35 Fair
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,
Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,
Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Enhanced by 45% over the UT day.
03 Jan 33 Fair
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Depressed by 20% during local day,
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
04 Jan 38 Fair-normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for January: 33
COMMENT: Moderately depressed conditions observed 29 Dec.
2. FORECAST (05 JANUARY - 11 JANUARY)
MUFS: depressed 15% briefly after local dawn on 06-07 Jan, otherwise MUFs near normal.
Propagation conditions: Fair-Normal 06-07 Jan Fair 07-Jan , otherwise normal.
SWFs possible.
T index: 20 06-07 Jan, otherwise 35.
3. OUTLOOK (12 JANUARY - 11 FEBRUARY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
27-Jan to 01-Feb,04-Feb,09-Feb.
PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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