[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (09 February 05)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/0200Z FEBRUARY 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (02 FEBRUARY - 08 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
02 Feb   28      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

03 Feb   10      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Feb   14      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     No data available during local day,
     No data available during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Depressed by 25% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Feb   37      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     No data available during local day,
     No data available during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

06 Feb   53      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

07 Feb   38      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data available during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 60% over the UT day.

08 Feb    7      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      No data available over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for February:  33
2. FORECAST (09 FEBRUARY - 15 FEBRUARY) 
MUFS: depressed 15% on 09 Feb and possibly 10 Feb, and 14 Feb.
Propagation conditions: Fair 09-10 Feb Fair 14-Feb , otherwise normal. SWfs 
possible early in week.
T index:   5 on 09 Feb, otherwise 30. 
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 10 was issued on 7 February and 
is current for interval  8-9 February. 
3. OUTLOOK (16 FEBRUARY - 18 MARCH)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
17-18 Feb,25-27 Feb,02-03 Mar,07-Mar,12-14 Mar,16-17 Mar.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


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