[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (31 August 05)
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Aug 31 12:08:23 EST 2005
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 31/0200Z AUGUST 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (24 AUGUST - 30 AUGUST)
Date T index Conditions
24 Aug 30 Fair-poor
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day,
No data available during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Depressed by 25% during local night.
Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,
Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.
25 Aug 12 Fair-normal
MUFS:
about 25% below predicted monthly values
26 Aug 22 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day,
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day,
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Depressed by 20% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
27 Aug 32 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day,
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
28 Aug 30 Normal
MUFS:
near predicted monthly values
29 Aug 42 Normal
MUFS:
slightly above predicted monthly values
30 Aug 37 Normal
MUFS:
Equatorial PNG Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day,
Enhanced by 35% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values,
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for August: 26
2. FORECAST (31 AUGUST - 06 SEPTEMBER)
MUFS: briefly depressed after local dawn 3 to 5 Sep
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.
Propagation conditions: Fair 03-Sep Fair 05-Sep , otherwise normal. No SWFs
T index: 35
3. OUTLOOK (07 SEPTEMBER - 07 OCTOBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
12-Sep to 13-Sep,20-Sep to 21-Sep,30-Sep,02-Oct to 03-Oct,06-Oct.
PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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