[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (10 August 05)

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Aug 10 13:35:18 EST 2005


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 10/0200Z AUGUST 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (03 AUGUST - 09 AUGUST)
Date   T index   Conditions        
03 Aug   43      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 25-35%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Aug   50      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Aug   49      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 20% during local day,
     Enhanced by 45% during local night.
     Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

06 Aug   54      Fair              
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 35% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

07 Aug   58      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.

08 Aug   35      Normal            
MUFS:
near predicted monthly values

09 Aug   36      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 45% during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day with
      isolated periods of degradation.

Predicted Monthly T index for August:  26
2. FORECAST (10 AUGUST - 16 AUGUST) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values.
Propagation conditions: Normal. SWFs unlikely.
T index:   25

3. OUTLOOK (17 AUGUST - 16 SEPTEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
17-Aug,24-Aug to 25-Aug,03-Sep,05-Sep,12-Sep to 13-Sep.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


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