[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (28 January 04)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 28/0200Z JANUARY 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (21 JANUARY - 27 JANUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
21 Jan   70      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


22 Jan   77      Normal-poor       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


23 Jan  -22      Poor-fair         
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 30% during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night and 
      after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.


24 Jan   50      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


25 Jan   11      Fair              
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night
      and after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


26 Jan  -11      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


27 Jan   52      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for January:  56
2. FORECAST (28 JANUARY - 03 FEBRUARY) 
MUFS:      Depressed 5 to 15% on 28-Jan, depressed 10 to 30% 
           on 31-Jan to 03-Feb, otherwise MUFs near normal. 
           SWFs possible later in week.
Propagation conditions: 
	   Fair 28-Jan, Fair-Poor 31-Jan to 03-Feb, 
	   otherwise normal. SWFs possible later in week.
T index:   45

3. OUTLOOK (04 FEBRUARY - 05 MARCH)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
04-07 Feb, 09-12 Feb, 24-Feb to 04-Mar.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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