[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (19 June 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 19/0200Z JUNE 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (12 JUNE - 18 JUNE)
Date   T index   Conditions        
12 Jun  116      Normal            
MUFS:
Mostly near predicted monthly values at all stations.


13 Jun  106      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.
      Spread F observed.


14 Jun  110      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced greater than 20%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.


15 Jun  103      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed 5-15% to near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


16 Jun  112      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed 10-20% to near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.


17 Jun  114      Normal            
MUFS:
Mostly near predicted monthly values at all stations.


18 Jun   98      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 15% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 107
2. FORECAST (19 JUNE - 25 JUNE) 
MUFS: Slightly depressed local dawn 20 & 24 June, otherwise
mostly near predicted monthly values. No SWFs.
Propagation conditions: Normal-fair 20 & 24 June, otherwise normal.
T index: 110

3. OUTLOOK (26 JUNE - 26 JULY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 8-15 July.

PEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060