[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (27 December 00)

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Dec 27 10:36:00 EST 2000


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 27/0200Z DECEMBER 2000 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (20 DECEMBER - 26 DECEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
20 Dec  158      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG and Northern Australian Regions:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.


21 Dec  147      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG and Northern Australian Regions:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.


22 Dec  156      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG and Northern Australian Regions:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.


23 Dec  148      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG and Northern Australian Regions:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


24 Dec  124      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 10% during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


25 Dec  134      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG and Northern Australian Regions:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


26 Dec  132      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG and Northern Australian Regions:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for December: 130
2. FORECAST (27 DECEMBER - 02 JANUARY) 
MUFS: Mostly near normal.
Propagation conditions: Normal. SWFs are possible.
T index:  142
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 83 was issued on 24 December and is current for interval  25-27 December (SWFs) . 
3. OUTLOOK (03 JANUARY - 02 FEBRUARY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
03-07 Jan, recurrent coronal hole.
24-26 Jan, recurrent coronal hole.

PEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 




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