[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (02 May 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 02 MAY 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (23 APRIL - 01 MAY)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 23 Apr   2553 3423   22    A moderate (64nT) impulse was observed 
 in the IPS magnetomter data at 0449UT on 23 Apr. 
 24 Apr   2222 2223    8     
 25 Apr   2200 0112    3    
 26 Apr   1121 0002    2    
 27 Apr   2322 2333   11    
 28 Apr   3444 3232   17    
 29 Apr   2223 2222    8    
 30 Apr   2222 3111    6    
 01 May   2211 1012    4    

*estimated from real time data

Disturbed conditions observed on 23 and 28 Apr. The activity
on 23 Apr was due to a cme passage associated with the X1 limb
flare on 21 april from solar region 9906. This region is due to
return to the solar disk on 05 May. Flare/CME activity may
increase after this date. Milder activity on 28 Apr was
associated with a coronal hole.
2. FORECAST (02 MAY - 01 JUNE)
Disturbed Periods: 
08-09 May (mild)
24-25 may

Best Quiet Periods: 
02-07 May
14-17 May
Note: Quiet periods based on recurrence. If region 9906 returns 
and is active quiet periods may become CME disturbed.


PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

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