From aswfc at bom.gov.au  Thu Jan  1 10:15:53 2026
From: aswfc at bom.gov.au (Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre)
Date: Thu, 01 Jan 2026 10:15:53 +1100
Subject: [ips-sf] ASWFC Summary Forecast for 01 January - issued
 2315UT/31-Dec-2025 [SEC=OFFICIAL]
Message-ID: <6955aea9.gFk+FHf+iB2cRnwl%aswfc@bom.gov.au>

Solar activity on UT day 01-Jan is expected to be at R1-R2 levels. S0
solar radiation storm conditions are expected. The solar wind speed is
expected to be light to moderate. The anticipated CME arrival on
31-Dec has failed to eventuate. A glancing blow from an east directed
semi-halo CME associated with an R2 (M7) flare is expected on 02-03
Jan. HF radio propagation conditions are expected to be normal.
Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian region are
expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced. Isolated
shortwave fadeouts are possible.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au