[ips-sf] ASWFC Summary Forecast for 29 July - issued 0324UT/29-Jul-2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

R3 (X1.5) solar flare observed 29/0237UT, short duration flare with
associated fadeout 29/0232-0305UT. On UT day 29-Jul solar activity is
expected to be R1-R2, with several solar regions showing development.
A sequence of CME arrivals is expected over 29-31 Jul. The solar wind
speed is expected to be initially light on 29-Jul, increasing to
moderate to strong late in the UT day on 29-Jul or from early in the
UT day on 30-Jul. The solar wind is expected to be remain moderate to
strong over 30-31-Jul. G1, chance G2 conditions are possible from late
in the UT day on 29-Jul, with G2 conditions expected on 30-Jul and
31-Jul. There is a chance for an isolated G3 period on 30 and 31-Jul.
S0, chance S1 solar radiation storm conditions are expected. Maximum
usable frequencies are expected to be near predicted values and HF
radio communication conditions are expected to be fair to normal on
29-Jul. Degraded HF conditions are likely for the southern Australian
region from late 30-Jul extending possibly up to 01-Aug depending on
anticipated geomagnetic storm onset times. Isolated fadeouts are
probable.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au