[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 17 May - issued 2339UT/16-May-2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

Solar flare activity was low (C class flares) during 16 May UT and it
is expected to remain low during the next 2 days. The strong Coronal
Mass Ejection (CME) launched in association with the long duration C
class flare on 15 May is not Earthward directed. The CME is
propagating toward the west (ahead of Earth in its orbit). At best, it
will deliver a glancing blow at Earth late on 18 May UT. Geomagnetic
conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled during 17 May and
they may reach active levels during 18-19 May if the CME impacts
Earth. The solar wind speed is currently about 500 km/s. Conditions
for HF radio wave propagation are trending back towards near normal in
the Southern Hemisphere. However, intervals of depressed conditions
are still likely at low latitude stations.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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