[ips-sf] SWS Summary Forecast for 09 July - issued 2327UT/08-Jul-2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

Solar activity was low on 8 July. A C2.7 flare was observed at 0056 UT
from region 2564(N10E79). Solar wind stream continued to stay strong
due to the coronal hole effect. This coronal hole effect is likely to
keep the solar wind stream strong on 9 and possibly 10 July as well.
Solar activity is expected to stay at very low levels over the next
three days (9, 10 and 11 July) with some possibility of isolated
C-class activity. Geomagnetic activity showed increases to unsettled
to active levels with isolated minor storm conditions on high
latitudes on 8 July. Nearly similar conditions may be expected on 9
July. Geomagnetic conditions may gradually decline from 10 July.
Unsettled to active levels on 10 July and quiet to unsettled levels on
11 July may be expected. Mild to moderate MUF depressions were
observed on UT day 8 July. These MUF depressions seem to have
eventuated due to continued very low levels of ionising radiation and
rise in geomagnetic activity on this day. Minor to moderate
depressions in MUFs and degradations in HF conditions are likely from
9 to 11 July due to continued very low levels of ionising radiation
and the possibility of continued rise in geomagnetic activity levels
during this period.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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