[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 12 February - issued 0013UT/12-Feb-2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

Solar activity on the UT day 11 Feb was at low levels with two C-class
flares. The strongest one, C8.9 caused a Type II radio emission with
an estimate shock speed of 480 km/s and halo coronal mass ejection
(CME). It seems that this CME will affect Earth within the next 2-3
days. Details on the impact of this event will be provided after the
completion of the model runs. The current solar winds is near 400 km/s
and has gradually enhanced in the last 6 hours. This is due to a small
equatorial coronal hole is approaching a geoeffective location on the
solar disk. Conditions for HF radio wave propagation are above normal,
slightly higher than the monthly predicted values.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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