[Ips-msgr] IPS Monthly Report - January 01

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Feb 2 10:27:23 EST 2001


SUBJ: IPS MONTHLY SUMMARY - JANUARY 2001
ISSUED BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1.     SOLAR-GEOPHYSICAL INDICES

                 SOLAR    AUST       AUST
Day         10 cm flux   A-INDEX   T INDEX
01-Jan         171        4      181
02-Jan         176        5      153
03-Jan         170       10      164
04-Jan         175       14      145
05-Jan         176        4      135
06-Jan         179        7      136
07-Jan         177        4      134
08-Jan         167        7      131
09-Jan         166        6      136
10-Jan         163        6      165
11-Jan         166        9      154
12-Jan         178        6      173
13-Jan         184        7      151
14-Jan         176        6      140
15-Jan         169        5      135
16-Jan         162        6      141
17-Jan         152        8      163
18-Jan         152        5      166
19-Jan         153        4      147
20-Jan         153        9      161
21-Jan         152       16      152
22-Jan         162       12       83
23-Jan         167       16      104
24-Jan         173       15      108
25-Jan         169        6      110
26-Jan         166       11      131
27-Jan         167        3      118
28-Jan         168        9      123
29-Jan         165       13      112
30-Jan         160        4      114
31-Jan         153       22      149


        10 CM  FLUX  SUNSPOT  NUMBER   AUST        AUST     No of
                                       A-INDEX     T INDEX  FLARES    
          Monthly  Monthly    Yearly   Monthly     Monthly  >M1.0
Month     Average  Average   Average   Average     Average        
Jan 00    158.3     90.2     112.8      13.6       123.9       9
Feb 00    173.7    112.3     116.6      15.9       124.9      15
Mar 00    208.2    138.2     119.8       8.2       147.1      38
Apr 00    184.2    125.3     120.7      10.3       154.9      11
May 00    184.5    120.8     118.9       9.7       138.7      20
Jun 00    178.8    124.9     118.6      10.0       133.5      24
Jul 00    200.0    169.1     119.6      12.8       147.3      54
Aug 00    163.1    130.5     120.1p     10.7       145.9      03
Sep 00    182.1    109.9     119.5p     13.1       132.1      15
Oct 00    167.8    100.1     118.3p     12.0       133.4      11
Nov 00    178.8    106.5     117.8p     14.4       135.4      23
Dec 00    173.0    104.5     117.2p      8.2       143.0       7
Jan 01    166.7     95.1     114.5p      8.4       139.2       8


               Monthly T indices
       Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec
1992   153   173   155   134    96    80    88    67    68    67    84    90  
1993    75    77    79    64    63    64    62    50    37    40    34    43  
1994    57    41    42    26    15    14    22    18    21    20    20    20  
1995    24    33    23    13     3    12    13    10    13     9    13     7  
1996    11     7     4     2     5     2     3     4     4     3    10    15  
1997    14    11    10     8    11     5     9    17    32    27    28    38  
1998    40    43    45    56*   45*   55    77    76    87    70*   74*   93  
1999    94    82    89    78    99   124   124   106    89    91   123   114  
2000   107   121   160*  154*  134   133   145   141*  124*  127*  139*  122^ 
2001   119^  116^  114^  113^  110^  108^  107^  106^  105^  104^  103^  101^ 
2002   100^   98^   95^   93^   91^   89^   86^   84^   81^   79^   76^   74^ 
2003    71^   69^   66^   64^   61^   59^   57^   54^   52^   49^   47^   45^ 
2004    43^   41^   39^   37^   35^   33^   31^   29^   28^   26^   24^   23^ 
2005    21^   20^   19^   17^   16^   15^   14^   13^   12^   11^   10^    9^ 
2006     8^    8^    7^    6^    6^    5^    5^    5^    4^    4^    4^    4^ 
2007     4^    5^    5^    6^    7^    8^    9^   11^   13^   16^   18^   21^ 
2008    25^   28^   32^   36^   41^   45^   50^   54^   59^   64^   68^   73^ 
* = New data. T index may have changed.
^ = IPS predicted T index.

===============================================================================

2.     FLARES AND SHORT-WAVE FADEOUTS 
DATE             CLASS M    CLASS X     FLARE     FADEOUT POSSIBLE ON
                 FLARES     FLARES      MAX       DAYLIGHT HF CIRCUIT
09 Jan 01	 M1.8/1N            	0650UT
10 Jan 01	 M3.5/1N            	1016UT    1012-1018UT
20 Jan 01	 M1.2/2F            	1847UT
20 Jan 01	 M7.7/2B            	2120UT    2106-2132UT
21 Jan 01	 M1.1/SF            	2312UT
24 Jan 01	 M1.0/2F            	1447UT
26 Jan 01	 M1.0/1B            	0607UT
28 Jan 01	 M1.5/1N            	1600UT

2.1     Comments on Solar Activity.
Solar activity was at mostly low to moderate levels, with high
activity observed on 20 Jan, due to an M7 flare at 2120UT.
A proton event was observed 28/2035UT to 30/0045UT following
M1 flare/CME event on 28 Jan.
===============================================================================

3.     GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCES              (for Australian Region)

DATE                     COMMENTS
21 Jan 01:  16     Active periods
23 Jan 01:  16     Active periods
24 Jan 01:  15     Active periods
31 Jan 01:  22     Active to Minor Storm 

Active to minor storm periods were observed on 31 Jan following
sudden impulse of 40-60nT at 0804UT. Activity associated with
teh M1 flare/CME on 28 Jan. Also, weak shocks were observed in the solar
wind 13/0141UT, 17/1531UT and 23/1006UT. These shocks were followed
by mild geomagnetic activity.
===============================================================================

4.     IONOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES              (for Australian Region)
22-25 Jan 01:  Depressed 10-20%.

Mild depression observed during interval 22-25 Jan.
===============================================================================

5.     IPS WARNINGS AND ALERTS ISSUED

WARNINGS:
HF RADIO WARNING:
ISSUE DATE      NO       BEGIN           END
22 Jan 01	 1	23 Jan 01	24 Jan 01
29 Jan 01	 2	31 Jan 01	 1 Feb 01
29 Jan 01	 2	31 Jan 01	 1 Feb 01

GEOMAGNETIC WARNING:
ISSUE DATE      NO       BEGIN           END
20 Jan 01	 1	22 Jan 01	24 Jan 01
28 Jan 01	 2	31 Jan 01	31 Jan 01

ALERTS: 
04 Jan 01: FLARE
09 Jan 01: FLARE
20 Jan 01: FLARE
21 Jan 01: FLARE
22 Jan 01: FLARE
23 Jan 01: GEOMAGNETIC
24 Jan 01: GEOMAGNETIC
26 Jan 01: GEOMAGNETIC
28 Jan 01: PARTICLE
31 Jan 01: GEOMAGNETIC

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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